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If a die is to be rolled until all sides have appeared at least once, 铿乶d the expected number of times that outcome 1appears.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The expected number of times that outcome 1appears is 2.45

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

If a die is to be rolled until all sides have appeared at least once,铿乶d the expected number of times that outcome 1appears.

02

Explanation

It is known that if we roll a six-sided fair die, there are 6possible outcomes, each one with a probability value p=16. Assume that die is rolled until all sides have appeared at least once, and in that case, let X be the number of rolls. Further, let random variable Xi represents the number of rolls needed to arrive at a new face on the die if i different faces have already appeared up. Then,

X=1+X1+X2+X3+X4+X5

p2=46, X3is a geometric random variable with parametersp3=36, X4is a geometric random variable with parametersp4=26and X5 is a geometric random variable with parametersp5=16. Therefore,

E[X]=1+i=15E[Xi]=1+i=151pi=1+(65+64+63+62+61)=14.7.

03

Explanation

Now, let's define indicator variables Ij, j=1,2, ...., X as:

Ij={1,ifE1occurs0,ifE1does not occur

Whereby E1denote the event :

E1="the outcome1appears " ,P{E1}=p.

Then, if Y represents the number of times that outcome 1appears, we have that

Y=j=1XIj

and therefore the expected numberof time that outcome1appear is:

E[Y]=E[j=1XIj]=E[E[j=1XIjX]]=E[XP{E1}=p]=pE[X]=2.45.

04

Final Answer

The expected number of times that outcome1 appears is 2.45

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