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Let X1,,Xnbe independent and identically distributed continuous random variables. We say that a record value occurs at time j,jn,if XjXlfor all 1ij. Show that

(a) E[number of record values]=j=1n1/j

(b) Var(number of record values)=j=1n(j1)/j2

Short Answer

Expert verified

a) It has been shown thatE[number of record values]=j=1n1/j

b) It has been shown thatVar(number of record values)=j=1n(j1)/j2

Step by step solution

01

Given Information (Part a)

Independent and identically distributed continuous random variables X1,,Xn

Record value occurs at time j,jnif XjXlfor all 1ij.

Show thatE[ number of record values]=j=1n1/j

02

Explanation (Part a) 

Let Yi;i=1,2,,nare independent and identically distributed random variables. Now define the indicator variable.

Ij=1鈥呪赌呪赌呪赌value recorded at timej0鈥呪赌呪赌呪赌otherwise

Calculate the expected number of record values,

E[Number of record values]=j=1nEIj

=j=1nPXjis the largest ofX1,X2,,Xj

=j=1n11j+011j

=j=1n[1/j]

03

Final Answer (Part a) 

Hence, it has been shown thatE[number of record values]=j=1n1/j.

04

Given Information (Part b) 

Independent and identically distributed continuous random variables X1,...,Xn

Record value occurs at time j,jnif XjX1for all 1ij

Show that Var(number of record values)=j=1n(j-1)/j2

05

Explanation (Part b)  

Calculate the variance for the number of record values,

E[Numberofrecordvalues]==j=1nEIj

=j=1nPXjis the largest ofX1,X2,,Xj

role="math" localid="1647524674823" =j=1n11j11j

=j=1n(j1)j2

06

Final Answer (Part b)  

Hence, the required variance of the number of record value isj=1n(j1)j2.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Two envelopes, each containing a check, are placed in front of you. You are to choose one of the envelopes, open it, and see the amount of the check. At this point, either you can accept that amount or you can exchange it for the check in the unopened envelope. What should you do? Is it possible to devise a strategy that does better than just accepting the first envelope? Let Aand B, A<B, denote the (unknown) amounts of the checks and note that the strategy that randomly selects an envelope and always accepts its check has an expected return of (A+B)/2. Consider the following strategy: Let F()be any strictly increasing (that is, continuous) distribution function. Choose an envelope randomly and open it. If the discovered check has the value x, then accept it with probability F(x)and exchange it with probability 1F(x).

(a) Show that if you employ the latter strategy, then your expected return is greater than (A+B)/2. Hint: Condition on whether the first envelope has the value Aor B. Now consider the strategy that fixes a value x and then accepts the first check if its value is greater than x and exchanges it otherwise. (b) Show that for any x, the expected return under thex-strategy is always at least (A+B)/2and that it is strictly larger than (A+B)/2if xlies between Aand B.

(c) Let X be a continuous random variable on the whole line, and consider the following strategy: Generate the value ofX, and if X=x, then employ the x-strategy of part (b). Show that the expected return under this strategy is greater than (A+B)/2.

An urn contains 30balls, of which10are red and 8 are blue. From this urn, 12 balls are randomly withdrawn. Let X denote the number of red and Y the number of blue balls that are withdrawn. Find Cov(X, Y)

(a) by defining appropriate indicator (that is, Bernoulli) random variables

Xi,Yjsuch that X=i=110Xi,Y=j=18Yj

(b) by conditioning (on either X or Y) to determineE[XY]

Consider n independent trials, each resulting in any one ofr possible outcomes with probabilities P1,P2,,Pr. Let X denote the number of outcomes that never occur in any of the trials. Find E[X] and show that among all probability vectors P1,,Pr,E[X] is minimized whenPi=1/r,i=1,,r.

A die is rolled twice. Let X equal the sum of the outcomes, and let Y equal the first outcome minus the second.

ComputeCov(X,Y).

Let A1,A2,,Anbe arbitrary events, and define

Ck={at least kof the Aioccur}. Show that

k=1nPCk=k=1nPAk

Hint: Let Xdenote the number of the Aithat occur. Show

that both sides of the preceding equation are equal to E[X].

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