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Ten hunters are waiting for ducks to fly by. When a flock of ducks flies overhead, the hunters fire at the same time, but each chooses his target at random, independently of the others. If each hunter independently hits his target with probability .6, compute the expected number of ducks that are hit. Assume that the number of ducks in a flock is a Poisson random variable with mean 6.

Short Answer

Expert verified

E(X)=∑n=0∞n1-1-0.6n10·6nn!e-6

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Given in the question that, Ten hunters are waiting for ducks to fly by. When a flock of ducks flies overhead, the hunters fire at the same time, but each chooses his target at random, independently of the others. If each hunter independently hits his target with probability 6.

02

Explanation

Characterize arbitrary variable Xas the quantity of ducks that have been hit and characterize Nas the quantity of ducks in a flock. We know that N~Pois(6). Assuming we are given data that N=n, we can compose

X=∑k=1nIk

where Ikis pointer arbitrary variable which demonstrates regardless of whether kth duck in a flock has been hit. See that

03

Law of the total expectation 

Since the principal duck will be remembered fondly assuming each hunter miss that duck and the likelihood that a specific hunter shots that duck is equivalent to 1n·0.6since he needs to pick that duck and hit it. Utilizing the law of the total expectation, we have that

=∑n=0∞nEI1P(N=n)

=∑n=0∞n1-1-0.6n10·6nn!e-6

04

Final answer

Expected number of ducks that are hit is,

E(X)=∑n=0∞n1-1-0.6n10·6nn!e-6

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