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From past experience, a professor knows that the test score taking her final examination is a random variable with a mean of75.

(a)Give an upper bound for the probability that a student’s test score will exceed85.

(b)Suppose, in addition, that the professor knows that the variance of a student’s test score is equal25. What can be said about the probability that a student will score between 65and85?

(c)How many students would have to take the examination to ensure a probability of at least .9that the class average would be within 5of75? Do not use the central limit theorem.

Short Answer

Expert verified

X→the test score

(a)P{X>85}≤1517,σ2=25⇒P{X>85}≤15

(b)P{65<X<85}≥34

(c)n≥10

Step by step solution

01

Given Information.

The test score taking her final examination is a random variable with a mean of75.

02

Explanation.

Let Xrepresents the test score of a student taking her final examination, assuming that Xit is a random variable with a meanμ=75.

03

Part (a) Explanation.

By Markov's inequality, an upper bound for the probability that a student's test score will exceed 85is

P{X>85}≤E[X]85=7585=1517.

Additionally, assume that the professor knows the variance of a student's test scorelocalid="1649756112940" σ2=25. Then,a¯=10we get:

P{X>75+10ÁåŸ=85}≤σ2σ2+102=2525+100=15.

04

Part (b) Explanation.

By Chebyshev's inequality,

P{|X-75|≥10}≤σ2102=25100=14

Therefore, sinceP{|X-75|≥10}=1-P{|X-75|<10}, we have:

P{|X-75|<10}≥1-14=34.(*)

On the other hand,

P{|X-75|<10}=P{-10<X-75<10}=P{65<X<85}⇒(*)P{65<X<85}≥34.

05

Part (c) Explanation.

Let nrepresents the required number of students, and X¯represents the class average:

X¯=X1+X2+⋯+Xnn,

where Xiis the test score of ith student? Then, EXi=E[X]=μrVarXi=Var(X)=σ2and therefore

E(X¯)=μandVar(X¯)=σ2n.

By Chebyshev's inequalitylocalid="1649756135336" P{|X¯-75|≥5}≤σ2n52=2525n=1n.

Therefore,

localid="1649755768696" P{|X¯-75|<5}≥1-1n.(**)

On the other hand, it is given:P{|X¯-75|<5}≥.9⇒(**)

1-1n≥.9⇒n≥10

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