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Consider two components and three types of shocks. A type 1 shock causes component 1 to fail, a type 2 shock causes component 2 to fail, and a type 3 shock causes both components 1 and 2 to fail. The times until shocks 1, 2, and 3 occur are independent exponential random variables with respective rates 位1, 位2, and 位3. Let Xi denote the time at which component i fails, i = 1, 2. The random variables X1, X2 are said to have a joint bivariate exponential distribution. FindP[X1>s,X2>t]

Short Answer

Expert verified

The joint probability distribution isPX1>t,X2>s=e-1t+2s+3max(s,t)

Step by step solution

01

 Step 1 : To find

The joint probability distribution of X1and X2.

02

 Step 2: Explanation

There are two components and three types of shocks.

Component 1 fails in a type 1 shock, component 2 fails in a type 2 shock, and components 1 and 2 fail in a type 3 shock.

Times are exponential random variables that are independent of one another.

With the corresponding rates,

1,2,and3.

Xi:time at which component i fails, i = 1. 2

A bivariate exponential distribution is shared byX1andX2

Let T1,T2andT3be random variables that represent the moments when type 1 shock, type 2 shock, and type 3 shock occur, respectively.

as a result

Ti~ExpoiNow,ForX1>t,X2>s

Type 1 shocks take longer than t, type 2 shocks take longer than s, and type 3 shocks take longer than the maximum of t and s

Therefore

PX1>t,X2>s=PT1>t,T2>s,T3>max(s,t)=PT1>tPT2>sPT3>max(s,t)=e1te2se3max(s,t)=e1t+2s+3max(s,t)

ThereforePX1>t,X2>s=e-1t+2s+3max(s,t)

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