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Suppose that the travel time from your home to your office is normally distributed with mean 40minutes and standard deviation 7minutes. If you want to be 95percent certain that you will not be late for an office appointment at 1p.m., what is the latest time that you should leave home?

Short Answer

Expert verified

12:08is the latest time to leave home.

Step by step solution

01

Step:1 Problem Assumption

Assume your commute time from home to work is regularly distributed, with a mean of 40minutes and a standard deviation of 7minutes. What is the latest time you should leave home if you want to be 95%sure you won't be late for a 1p.m. office appointment

02

Step:2 Calculation of time to leave home.

That's something we're given X~N40,72. We must pick a time tthat will allow us to complete our task.

P(Xt)=0.95

Because in such instance, if we leave home on time or early, we will be on time in our office with a probability of 0.95The preceding expression is identical to

0.95=PX-407t-407=t-407

We can see from the table of standard normal cumulative distribution that

t-407=1.64t=51.515

That suggests that to arrive at work on time with a chance of 0.95, we must leave the house at least 12:08a.m.

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