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An urn contains 5white and 10black balls. A fair die is rolled and that number of balls is randomly chosen from the urn. What is the probability that all of the balls selected are white? What is the conditional probability that the die landed on 3if all the balls selected are white?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability that all of the balls selected are white is ≅0.0758.

The conditional probability that the die landed on 3if all the balls selected are white is 0.0483.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

The number of balls in a particular urn is: 15.

Out of 15balls, the number of white balls is: 5.

Out of 15 balls, the number of black balls is:10.

02

Solution of the Problem

Let Ridenote the event of getting aniwhile rolling the die (for i=1,2,3,4,5,6)

Let Wdenote the event that all the selected balls are white.

The probability that Riis: PRi=16

PW∣R1=51151⇒515⇒13

PW∣R2=52152⇒10105⇒221

03

Computation of the Value

Simplifying the equation,

PW∣R3=53153⇒10455⇒291

PW∣R4=54154⇒51365⇒1273

PW∣R5=55155⇒13003

We get,

PW∣R6=0.

04

Computation of the Probability

The probability that all of the balls selected are white is,P(W)=PW∣RiPW∣R1+PW∣R2+PW∣R3+PW∣R4+PW∣R5+PW∣R6

=1613+221+291+1273+13003+0

=161001+286+66+11+13003

We get,=1613653003

=136518018

We get,

≅0.0758.

05

Computation of the Conditional Probability

The conditional probability that the die landed on3 if all the balls selected are white is,

PR3∣W=PW∣R3PR3P(W)

=29116(0.0758)

=0.021978×0.16670.0758

We get=0.003660.0758

≅0.0483.

06

Final Answer

The probability that all of the balls selected are white is0.0758.

The conditional probability that the die landed on 3 if all the balls selected are white is 0.0483.

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