/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Q. 3.47 An urn contains 5white and 10bla... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

An urn contains 5white and 10black balls. A fair die is rolled and that number of balls is randomly chosen from the urn. What is the probability that all of the balls selected are white? What is the conditional probability that the die landed on 3if all the balls selected are white?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability that all of the balls selected are white is ≅0.0758.

The conditional probability that the die landed on 3if all the balls selected are white is 0.0483.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

The number of balls in a particular urn is: 15.

Out of 15balls, the number of white balls is: 5.

Out of 15 balls, the number of black balls is:10.

02

Solution of the Problem

Let Ridenote the event of getting aniwhile rolling the die (for i=1,2,3,4,5,6)

Let Wdenote the event that all the selected balls are white.

The probability that Riis: PRi=16

PW∣R1=51151⇒515⇒13

PW∣R2=52152⇒10105⇒221

03

Computation of the Value

Simplifying the equation,

PW∣R3=53153⇒10455⇒291

PW∣R4=54154⇒51365⇒1273

PW∣R5=55155⇒13003

We get,

PW∣R6=0.

04

Computation of the Probability

The probability that all of the balls selected are white is,P(W)=PW∣RiPW∣R1+PW∣R2+PW∣R3+PW∣R4+PW∣R5+PW∣R6

=1613+221+291+1273+13003+0

=161001+286+66+11+13003

We get,=1613653003

=136518018

We get,

≅0.0758.

05

Computation of the Conditional Probability

The conditional probability that the die landed on3 if all the balls selected are white is,

PR3∣W=PW∣R3PR3P(W)

=29116(0.0758)

=0.021978×0.16670.0758

We get=0.003660.0758

≅0.0483.

06

Final Answer

The probability that all of the balls selected are white is0.0758.

The conditional probability that the die landed on 3 if all the balls selected are white is 0.0483.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose that we want to generate the outcome of the flip of a fair coin, but that all we have at our disposal is a biased coin that lands on heads with some unknown probability p that need not be equal to 1 2 . Consider the following procedure for accomplishing our task: 1. Flip the coin. 2. Flip the coin again. 3. If both flips land on heads or both land on tails, return to step 1. 4. Let the result of the last flip be the result of the experiment.

(a) Show that the result is equally likely to be either heads or tails.

(b) Could we use a simpler procedure that continues to flip the coin until the last two flips are different and then lets the result be the outcome of the final flip?

Three cards are randomly selected, without replacement, from an ordinary deck of 52 playing cards. Compute the conditional probability that the first card selected is a spade given that the second and third cards are spades.

Genes relating to albinism are denoted by A and a. Only those people who receive the a gene from both parents will be albino. Persons having the gene pair A, a are normal in appearance and, because they can pass on the trait to their offspring, are called carriers. Suppose that a normal couple has two children, exactly one of whom is an albino. Suppose that the non albino child mates with a person who is known to be a carrier for albinism.

(a) What is the probability that their first offspring is an albino?

(b) What is the conditional probability that their second offspring is an albino given that their firstborn is not?

Prostate cancer is the most common type of cancer found in males. As an indicator of whether a male has prostate cancer, doctors often perform a test that measures the level of the prostate-specific antigen (PSA) that is produced only by the prostate gland. Although PSA levels are indicative of cancer, the test is notoriously unreliable. Indeed, the probability that a noncancerous man will have an elevated PSA level is approximately .135, increasing to approximately .268 if the man does have cancer. If, on the basis of other factors, a physician is 70 percent certain that a male has prostate cancer, what is the conditional probability that he has the cancer given that

(a) the test indicated an elevated PSA level?

(b) the test did not indicate an elevated PSA level?

Repeat the preceding calculation, this time assuming that the physician initially believes that there is a 30 percent chance that the man has prostate cancer.

A simplified model for the movement of the price of a stock supposes that on each day the stock’s price either moves up 1unit with probabilitypor moves down 1unit with probability 1−p.The changes on different days are assumed to be independent.

(a) What is the probability that after2days the stock will be at its original price?

(b) What is the probability that after 3days the stock’s price will have increased by 1 unit?

(c) Given that after 3days the stock’s price has increased by 1 unit, what is the probability that it went up on the first day?

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.