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Prove that P(E∪F∪G)=P(E)+P(F)+P(G)-PEcFG-PEFcG-PEFGc-2P(EFG)

Short Answer

Expert verified

Use Proposition 4.4. and P(AB)=P(ABC)+PABc.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information 

To prove:

P(E∪F∪G)=P(E)+P(F)+P(G)-PEcFG-PEFcG-PEFGc-2P(EFG)

02

Explanation

Proof will be similar to the proof of Proposition 4.4. in the remark.

If the outcome from the outcome space is not in Eor For Gthen its probability does not contribute to P(E∪F∪G)nor to any probability on the left.

If the outcome from the outcome space is in E∪F∪Git is in either one, two or all three events E,For G. In each of these cases it is counted once in the left hand side.

If it is in precisely one of the events E,F,Git is counted only once and that is in the one of the first three addends on the right hand side

If it is in precisely two of the events E,F,Git is counted twice in the first three addends, and -l times in one of the second three addends, and 0timesP(EFG). That is it is counted once on the right-hand side.

If it is in all three of the events E,F,G it is counted three times in the first three addends on the right hand side, zero times in the second three addends (because it is not not a member of any of the events) and -2 times in P(EFG), so precisely once on the right hand side.

This proves the statement.

03

Explanation

EFGand EFGcare mutualy exclusive and EF=EFG∪EFGc, so from Axiom 3:

P(EF)=P(EFG)+PEFGc

Since this is true for any three events:

localid="1650021803779" P(FG)=P(EFG)+PEcFGP(EG)=P(EFG)+PEFcG

Starting from Proposition 4.4.

localid="1650021814055" P(E∪F∪G)=P(E)+P(F)+P(G)-P(EF)-P(EG)-P(FG)+P(EFG)=P(E)+P(F)+P(G)-P(EFG)-PEFGc-P(EFG)-PEFcG-P(EFG)-PEcFG+P(EFG)=P(E)+P(F)+P(G)-PEFGc-PEFcG-PEcFG-2P(EFG)

It proves the statement.

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