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Let Adenote the event that the midtown temperature in Los Angeles is70â—¦F, and letBdenote the event that the midtown temperature in New York is70â—¦F. Also, let's Cdenote the event that the maximum of the midtown temperatures in New York and in Los Angeles is70â—¦F. If P(A)=.3,P(B)=.4,andP(C)=.2, find the probability that the minimum of the two midtown temperatures is70â—¦F.

Short Answer

Expert verified

P=0.5

Analise all the events that can be derived from A,BandC.

Use the Venn diagram.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information.

A=tLA=70, In an event, the temperature in LA is70 degrees Fahrenheit.

B=tNY=70, an event that the temperature in NY is 70degrees Fahrenheit.

C=maxtLA,tNY=70, an event that the minimum temperatures in LA and NY are 70degrees Fahrenheit.

02

Explanation.

What is the probability of an eventD=mintLA,tNY=70?

Analise the events:

AB=tNY=70,tLA=70BC=tNY=70,tLA≤70

Because if bothtNY=70, andmaxtLA,tNY=70,⇒tLA≤70. The same forAC

AC=tLA=70,tNY≤70

It tNY=70,tLA=70,Calso occurs, so:

ABC=tNY=70,tLA=70

Furthermore:

AcBC=tNY=70,tLA<70ABcC=tLA=70,tNY<70ABCc=∅ABcCc=tLA=70,tNY>70AcBCc=tNY=70,tLA>70AcBcC=∅

Because if neither of tNYortLAis70, the maximum of the two can't be70.

03

Explanation.

04

Explanation.

Reading from the Venn diagram (and using0):

P(A)=PtNY=70,tLA<70+PtNY=70,tLA=70+PtNY=70,tLA>70

P(B)=PtNY<70,tLA=70+PtNY=70,tLA=70+PtNY>70,tLA=70

P(C)=PtNY=70,tLA<70+PtNY=70,tLA=70+PtNY<70,tLA=70

P(D)=PtNY=70,tLA=70+PtNY=70,tLA>70+PtNY>70,tLA=70

Combining these probabilities:

P(A)+P(B)&=P(C)+P(D)0.4+0.3&=0.2+P(D)P(D)&=0.5

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