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Show that the probability that exactly one of the eventsEorFoccurs equals P(E)+P(F)−2P(EF).

Short Answer

Expert verified

Note that the event in which only oneE,Foccurs isP(E∪F)(EF)c

Use Axiom3for (E∪F)(EF)c&E∪Fand Proposition4.3.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information.

The probability that exactly one of the eventsEorFoccurs equalsP(E)+P(F)−2P(EF)..

02

Explanation.

For any events EandF:

P(E∪F)(EF)c=P(E)+P(F)-2P(EF)

Where the left-hand side is the event where precisely one event E&Foccurs.

Because(E∪F)(EF)cis an event that occurs ifEor Foccur and not both Eandlocalid="1649246913116" Foccur.

Firstly note that

(E∪F)(EF)c∩EF=∅(E∪F)(EF)c∪EF=E∪F

Therefore

P(E∪F)=P(E∪F)(EF)c+P(EF)P(E∪F)(EF)c=P(E∪F)-P(EF)=P(E)+P(F)-P(EF)-P(EF)=P(E)+P(F)-2P(EF)

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