/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 12 A group of \(n\) men and \(m\) w... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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A group of \(n\) men and \(m\) women are lined up at random. Determine the expected number of men that have a woman on at least one side of them.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The expected number of men that have a woman on at least one side is: \(E(X) = n \left[1 - \frac{2(n-1) + (n-1)(n-2) + 2}{(n+m)(n+m-1)}\right]\)

Step by step solution

01

Define Indicator Variables

: Let's use the indicator variable approach. Let \(X_i\) denote the event where the \(i\)-th man has a woman on at least one side of him. Then, \(X_i\) can be either 0 or 1.
02

Calculate Probabilities

: We want to calculate the probability of \(X_i\) being 1, which is the probability that the \(i\)-th man has a woman on at least one side. \(P(X_i = 1) = 1 - P(X_i = 0)\) Let's find the probability that man \(i\) doesn't have a woman on either side, i.e., \(P(X_i = 0)\). There are 3 cases that a man can have other men on both sides: 1. The \(i\)-th man is at one of the ends of the line and has another man beside him. 2. The \(i\)-th man is in the middle and has men on both sides. 3. The \(i\)-th man is at one of the ends of the line and has no one beside him (this case is not practically possible, but we consider it for the calculation) Total number of possible cases = \(n+m\) Now let's find the probabilities for each case. 1. Probability of case 1: \(P(\text{case 1}) = \frac{2(n-1)}{n+m}\) 2. Probability of case 2: \(P(\text{case 2}) = \frac{(n-1)(n-2)}{(n+m)(n+m-1)}\) 3. Probability of case 3: \(P(\text{case 3}) = \frac{2}{n+m}\) Now add all the 3 cases probabilities and subtract it from 1 to find the probability of a man having a woman on at least one side. \(P(X_i = 1) = 1 - [P(\text{case 1}) + P(\text{case 2}) + P(\text{case 3})]= 1 - \frac{2(n-1) + (n-1)(n-2) + 2}{(n+m)(n+m-1)}\)
03

Calculate Expected Value

: Now we need to find the expected value, which is the expected number of men that have a woman on at least one side. We can use the formula for expectation: \(E(X) = \sum_{i=1}^n P(X_i = 1)\) Using the probability we found in step 2, and summing it up for \(n\) men, we have: \(E(X) = n \cdot [1 - \frac{2(n-1) + (n-1)(n-2) + 2}{(n+m)(n+m-1)}]\)
04

Final Answer

: The expected number of men that have a woman on at least one side is: \(E(X) = n \left[1 - \frac{2(n-1) + (n-1)(n-2) + 2}{(n+m)(n+m-1)}\right]\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Theory
Probability theory is the branch of mathematics concerned with the analysis of random phenomena. It provides a framework for predicting the likelihood of various outcomes in uncertain situations. For example, when we flip a fair coin, probability theory tells us that there is a 50% chance of landing on heads and a 50% chance of tails. This theory is foundational in understanding expected values in probability, as it allows us to calculate the average outcome we can anticipate over a large number of trials or events.

Probability is normally expressed as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates an impossible event and 1 indicates a certain outcome. Probabilities can be calculated using various methods, including combinatorial analysis, which is particularly useful in situations where we need to consider the arrangement of objects or people, as in our textbook exercise regarding the lineup of men and women.
Indicator Variables
Indicator variables are a neat tool often used in probability and statistics. They are simple binary variables that take on the value 1 if a certain condition is met and 0 otherwise. Their beauty lies in their ability to simplify complex probability computations into more manageable pieces. For instance, we used indicator variables in the original exercise to track whether each man has a woman on at least one side.

By assigning an indicator variable, say, \(X_i\), to each man, we turn our attention from a potentially convoluted overall picture to easier-to-handle individual events. The probability of \(X_i = 1\) alone doesn't tell us much, but by summing these probabilities across all men, we can get a very clear picture of the expected number of men with women on at least one side, which is a great example of the power of indicator variables in organizing and solving probability problems.
Expected Number Calculation
The expected number calculation, often represented as \(E(X)\), provides a measure of the 'average' outcome if we were to repeat an experiment many times. When dealing with a finite number of discrete events—like individual men in a lineup—the expected value is calculated as the sum of the probabilities of each event occurring, multiplied by the value of each event. In our case, the value is the presence (or absence) of a woman next to a man.

This formula reflects the weighted average, where each possible outcome's contribution to the expected value is proportionate to its likelihood. As illustrated in the exercise, once we know the probability of each man having a woman on at least one side, we can calculate the expected number of men by summing all these probabilities.
Combinatorial Probabilities
Combinatorial probabilities are probabilities that involve counting the number of ways certain events can occur, using methods from combinatorics, the field of mathematics that deals with counting, combinations, and permutations. This form of calculation is particularly essential when outcomes depend on the arrangement or combination of objects or individuals. The calculation of probabilities for a man not having a woman on either side involves understanding the different combinations of men and women in a lineup.

In combinatorial probability problems, it is often helpful to determine the total number of possible outcomes first and then count how many of these outcomes meet our criteria for success. This approach was evident in the textbook solution, where different cases for arrangement were considered, reflecting the different ways men can be positioned relative to women.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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