/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 26 Suppose that \(10^{6}\) people a... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Suppose that \(10^{6}\) people arrive at a service station at times that are independent random variables, each of which is uniformly distributed over \(\left(0,10^{6}\right)\). Let \(N\) denote the number that arrive in the first hour. Find an approximation for \(P\\{N=i\\}\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
In this problem, we can approximate the continuous uniform distribution using a Poisson distribution. The average number of people arriving in the first hour is found to be \( \lambda = 1 \). Using the Poisson distribution formula, \( P\{N=i\} = \frac{e^{-\lambda} \lambda^i}{i!} \), we can approximate the probability of any given number (i) of people arriving in the first hour.

Step by step solution

01

Determine the average number of arrivals in the first hour

We know that \( 10^6 \) people arrive uniformly distributed over the interval \( (0, 10^6) \). Since the number of people is equal to the length of the interval, and we are interested in the first hour (which is the interval \( (0,1) \)), we can compute the average number of arrivals in the first hour as follows: Average number of arrivals in the first hour, \( \lambda \) = \(\frac{\text{Length of the interval of interest}}{\text{Length of the total interval}} \times \text{Total number of arrivals}\) \( \lambda \) = \(\frac{1}{10^6} \times 10^6\) \( \lambda \) = 1
02

Apply the Poisson distribution formula

Now that we have the average number of arrivals in the first hour (\( \lambda = 1\)), we can use the Poisson distribution formula to approximate the probability \( P\{N=i\} \) for any given value of i: \( P\{N=i\} \) = \(\frac{e^{-\lambda} \lambda^i}{i!}\) Here, \( e \) is the base of the natural logarithm (approximately 2.71828), \( \lambda \) is the average number of arrivals in the first hour, and i is the number of arrivals we want to compute the probability for.
03

Compute the approximation for P{N=i}

Using the Poisson distribution formula, we can compute the approximation for \( P\{N=i\} \) for any given value of i. Remember that \( \lambda = 1 \) for this problem. For example, if we want to find the probability of 2 people arriving in the first hour, we'd plug in \( i = 2 \) to the formula: \( P\{N=2\} \) = \(\frac{e^{-1} \cdot 1^2}{2!} \) To find the probability of any other number of arrivals (i), we would plug in the desired value of i and compute the Poisson distribution formula accordingly.

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