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Stores \(A, B\), and \(C\) have 50,75 , and 100 employees and, respectively, 50 , 60 , and 70 percent of these are women. Resignations are equally likely among all employees, regardless of sex. One employee resigns, and this is a woman. What is the probability that she works in store \(C\) ?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that a woman who resigns works in Store \(C\) is \(\frac{1}{2}\) or 50%.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the number of women in each store

To begin, we must determine the exact number of women employees in each store. This can be done by multiplying the total number of employees in each store with the given percentage of women. Store \(A\): \(50 \cdot 0.50 = 25\) women Store \(B\): \(75 \cdot 0.60 = 45\) women Store \(C\): \(100 \cdot 0.70 = 70\) women
02

Calculate the total number of women employees and total number of employees

Now, we need to find the total number of women employees across all stores and the total number of employees across all stores. Total women employees: \(25 + 45 + 70 = 140\) Total employees: \(50 + 75 + 100 = 225\)
03

Calculate the probability of women in each store

We'll calculate the probability of a randomly selected employee being both a woman and working at each store. Probability of a woman from Store \(A\): \(\frac{25}{225}\) Probability of a woman from Store \(B\): \(\frac{45}{225}\) Probability of a woman from Store \(C\): \(\frac{70}{225}\)
04

Calculate the probability that the woman who resigns works in store \(C\)

Using conditional probability, we will calculate the probability that a woman who resigns works in store \(C\). This can be found by dividing the probability of a woman from Store \(C\) by the total probability of women employees. Probability (Woman who resigns works in Store \(C\)) = \(\frac{\frac{70}{225}}{\frac{25}{225} + \frac{45}{225} + \frac{70}{225}} = \frac{70}{140}\)
05

Simplify the probability

Lastly, simplify the probability to its simplest form. Probability (Woman who resigns works in Store \(C\)) = \(\frac{70}{140} = \frac{1}{2}\) This indicates that there is a 50% chance that a woman resigning works in store \(C\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Calculation
In everyday life, making decisions often depends on predicting the likelihood of various outcomes. Similarly, probability calculation is at the core of understanding how likely different events are to occur. The heart of the procedure often lies in understanding the fraction or percentage that represents the occurrence of a desired event relative to all possible outcomes.

For example, in our exercise about the woman resigning from a store, we had to determine probabilities based on known quantities of employees and their distribution by gender. The calculation was straightforward: the number of women employees in each store was divided by the total number of employees to get the probability for each store individually.

This type of probability calculation is essential for all sorts of applications, from games of chance to weather forecasting, and is a foundational skill in statistics.
Bayes' Theorem
Bayes' theorem is a powerful formula used in probability theory to update the probability for a hypothesis as more information becomes available. It relates the conditional and marginal probabilities of statistical quantities and enables the calculation of the 'revised' or 'posterior' probability of an event.

In our exercise concerning the probability that the resigning employee is from store C, Bayes' theorem isn't directly applied because the situation doesn't involve revising prior probabilities with additional evidence. However, understanding this theorem is crucial when dealing with complex scenarios where events are interdependent, and it can enhance our understanding of conditional probability when dealing with multiple layers of information.
Probability Theory
Probability theory is a branch of mathematics that deals with the analysis of random phenomena. The foundational concepts include random events, their probabilities, and the properties of these probabilities. Whether you're assessing risks in finance, determining statistical significance in scientific research, or simply flipping a coin, probability theory comes into play.

In the context of the problem we examined, probability theory helps us comprehend the framework within which we assess the likelihood of a woman from a particular store resigning. By considering all stores together and using the basic principles of probability theory, the solution to the problem was calculated. In essence, probability theory gives us the tools to make predictions about the outcomes of random events by quantifying uncertainty and enabling data-driven decision-making.

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