A person tried by a 3-judge panel is declared guilty if at least 2 judges cast
votes of guilty. Suppose that when the defendant is, in fact, guilty, each
judge will independently vote guilty with probability. 7, whereas when the
defendant is, in fact, innocent, this probability drops to \(.2\). If 70 percent
of defendants are guilty, compute the conditional probability that judge
number 3 votes guilty given that
(a) judges 1 and 2 vote guilty;
(b) judges 1 and 2 cast 1 guilty and 1 not guilty vote;
(c) judges 1 and 2 both cast not guilty votes.
Let \(E_{i}, i=1,2,3\) denote the event that judge \(i\) casts a guilty vote. Are
these events independent. Are they conditionally independent? Explain.