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Following a policy meeting on March 19,2009the Federal Reserve made an announcement that it would purchase up to $300billion of longer-term Treasury securities over the following six months. What effect might this policy have on the yield curve?

Short Answer

Expert verified

As the yield curve became less steep, the interest rate on long-term Treasury securities fell.

Step by step solution

01

Definition

The yield curve shows the relationship between various interest rates and the period of maturity of bonds having the rest of the terms of the contract the same. The yield curve can be slanted upwards, flat, or downwards.

02

Explanation

Suppose the federal reserve decides to purchase up to $300billion long-term Treasury securities over the following six months. As a result, the supply of government securities decreases, as seen below:

The supply of treasury securities decreases, shifting ST to ST' as shown. This changed the equilibrium in the market for Treasury securities from point A to point B and increased the price to P'. Remember that an asset's price and interest rate are inversely connected. This means that the interest rate for these longer-term securities has fallen as a result of the federal reserve's decision.

This would cause the yield curve to be less steep because the interest on longer-term Treasury securities fell. This change is illustrated below.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

If junk bonds are 鈥渏unk,鈥 then why do investors buy them?

Do you think that a U.S. Treasury bill will have a risk premium that is higher than, lower than, or the same as that of a similar security (in terms of maturity and liquidity) issued by the government of Colombia?

Assuming the expectations theory is the correct theory of the term structure, calculate the interest rates in the term structure for maturities of one to four years, and plot the resulting yield curves for the following paths of one-year interest rates over the next four years:

a. 5%;7%;12%;12%

b.7%;5%;3%;5%

How would your yield curves change if people preferred shorter-term bonds to longer-term bonds?

Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find daily yield data on the following U.S. treasuries securities: one-month (DGS1MO), three-month (DGS3MO), six-month (DGS6MO), one-year (DGS1), two-year (DGS2), three-year (DGS3), five-year (DGS5), seven-year (DGS7), 10-year (DGS10), 20-year (DGS20), and 30-year (DGS30). Download the last full year of data available into a spreadsheet.

a. Construct a yield curve by creating a line graph for the most recent day of data available, and for the same day (or as close to the same day as possible) one year prior, across all the maturities. How do the yield curves compare? What does the changing slope say about potential changes in economic conditions?

b. Determine the date of the most recent Federal Open Market Committee policy statement. Construct yield curves for both the day before the policy statement was released and the day on which the policy statement was released. Was there any significant change in the yield curve as a result of the policy statement? How might this be explained?

Which should have the higher risk premium on its interest rates, a corporate bond with a Moody鈥檚 Baa rating or a corporate bond with a C rating? Why?

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