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If nominal interest rates in America rise but real interest rates fall, predict what will happen to the U.S. dollar exchange rate

Short Answer

Expert verified

At any conversion standard, the normal profit from dollar resources diminishes, shifting the interest curve to one side and causing a drop in the conversion standard.

Step by step solution

01

Concept Introduction

Inflation is defined as a significant increase in costs or a decrease in the value of money. It is frequently the result of a great deal of interest being focused on a few products or limited services, resulting in increased prices.

02

Explanation 

Because of the large expansion, when real loan costs fall, the currency exchange rate reduces as well. When the economy grows, currency value diminishes the increase in costs, causing the dollar exchange rate to fall. When the borrower repays the advance with revenue, the genuine financing cost estimates the rate of increase in purchasing power that the bank receives. It will increase the dollar exchange rate since speculation in that auto company will rise, stocks will rise, and the vehicle's commodities will rise.

03

Final Answer.

The value of the US dollar will fall. An increase in nominal interest rates but a fall in the real interest rate implies an increase in predicted growth, resulting in a typical depreciation of the dollar that is more than the increase in the domestic loan cost. As a result, at any conversion scale, the normal profit from dollar resources declines, causing the interest curve to shift to one side and the exchange rate to fall.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In September 2012, the Federal Reserve announced a large-scale asset-purchase program (known as QE3) designed to lower intermediate and longer-term interest rates. What effect should this have had on the dollar/euro exchange rate?

Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on the daily dollar exchange rates for the euro (DEXUSEU), British pound (DEXUSUK), and Japanese yen (DEXJPUS). Also find data on the daily three-month London Interbank Offer Rate, or LIBOR, for the United States dollar (USD3MTD156N), euro (EUR3MTD156N), British pound (GBP3MTD156N), and Japanese yen (JPY3MTD156N). LIBOR is a measure of interest rates denominated in each country’s respective currency.

a. Calculate the difference between the LIBOR rate in the United States and the LIBOR rates in the three other countries using the data from one year ago and the most recent data available.

b. Based on the changes in interest rate differentials, do you expect the dollar to depreciate or appreciate against the other currencies?

c. Report the percentage change in the exchange rates over the past year. Are the results you predicted in part (b) consistent with the actual exchange rate behavior?

Suppose the president of the United States announces

a new set of reforms that includes a new anti-inflation

program. Assuming the announcement is believed by

the public, what will happen to the exchange rate on

the U.S. dollar?

In the mid- to late 1970s, the yen appreciated in value relative to the dollar, even though Japan’s inflation rate was higher than America’s. How can this be explained by improvements in the productivity of Japanese industry relative to U.S. industry?

If the European Central Bank decides to pursue a contractionary monetary policy to fight inflation, what will happen to the value of the U.S. dollar?

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