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How does an unanticipated decline in the price level cause a drop in lending?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The unanticipated decline in price increases the value of borrowing firms' debts in real terms, decreasing their net worth. This increases the issues of adverse selection and moral hazard that lenders face, causing a drop-in lending.

Step by step solution

01

Concept Introduction

Banks or financial institutions commonly do asset-based loaning.
In asset-based loaning, they accept assets as the security and loan cash against it (credit to esteem proportion).
The bigger the worth of the asset, the more will be the advance endorsed against it.

02

Explanation

Banks keep collateral to safeguard their interests. If a loan becomes nonperforming, the banks will take hold of that asset & will sell it in the market to recover their dues.

By taking collateral, banks feel safer and can lend a larger amount of money at lower interest rates as compared to unsecured loans.

An unanticipated decline in the price level increases the risk profile of the assets of the bank, i.e. loans they have given become riskier as the value of collateral taken by them sharply falls.

03

Final Answer

Therefore, this situation decreases the liquidity levels as it becomes difficult for the firms to know the ability to pay off the bills.

So, a decline in the price level leads to a decline in lending money.

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. Go to the St. Louis Federal Reserve FRED database, and find data on house prices (SPCS20RSA), stock prices (NASDAQCOM), a measure of the net wealth of households (TNWBSHNO), and personal consumption expenditures (PCEC). For all four measures, be sure to convert the frequency setting to 鈥淨uarterly.鈥 Download the data into a spreadsheet, and make sure the data align correctly with the appropriate dates. For all four series, for each quarter, calculate the annualized growth rate from quarter to quarter. To do this, take the current-period data minus the previous-quarter data, and then divide by the previous quarter data. Multiply by 100 to change each result to a percentage, and multiply by 4 to annualize the data.

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