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It is late 2019 , and the U.S. economy is showing signs of slipping into a potentially deep recession. Government policymakers are searching for income-tax-policy changes that will bring about a significant and lasting boost to real consumption spending. According to the logic of the permanent income hypothesis, should the proposed income-tax-policy changes involve tax increases or tax reductions, and should the policy changes be short-lived or long-lasting?

Short Answer

Expert verified

Tax cuts can increase consumers' real disposable income and consequently their real consumption spending, but the government wants big tax cuts.

Step by step solution

01

Introduction 

The given is about the signs shown by the U.S economy of slipping into a potentially deep recession

The objective is to determine should the taxes be fixed as short term or long term

02

Step 1

Consumption flows are based on the level of permanent income or predicted long-term average income, according to the permanent income hypothesis.

Increases in predicted long-term average income lead to higher consumption spending, and vice versa.

03

Step 2

Tax reductions can increase households' real disposable income and thus impact real consumption spending.

However, if the government wants a significant and long-term boost to real consumption spending, it must make the income-tax policy change, i.e. tax reductions, a long-term change because only then can permanent income be increased, resulting in a significant and long-term boost to real consumption spending.

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