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Sheila Goodman recently received her MBA from the Harvard Business School. She has joined the family business, Goodman Software Products Inc., as vice president of finance.

She believes in adjusting projects for risk . Her father is somewhat skeptical but agrees to go along with her. Her approach is somewhat different than the risk-adjusted discount rate approach, but achieves the same objective.

She suggests that the inflows for each year of a project be adjusted downward for lack of certainty and then be discounted back at a risk-free rate. The theory is that the adjustment penalty makes the inflows the equivalent of riskless inflows, and therefore a risk-free rate is justified.

A table showing the possible coefficient of variation for an inflow and the associated adjustment factor is shown next:

Coefficient of Variation Adjustment Factor

0鈥0.25 0.90

0.26鈥0.50 0.80

0.51鈥0.75 0.70

0.76鈥1.00 0.60

1.01鈥1.25 0.50

Assume a \(184,000 project provides the following inflows with the associated coefficients of variation for each year:

Year Inflow Coefficient of Variation

1 \)32,200 0.12

2 59,500 0.28

3 79,900 0.45

4 59,200 0.79

  1. 65,600 1.15

A Fill in the following table:

Year Inflow Coefficient of Variation Adjustment Factor Adjusted Inflow

1 \(32,200 0.12

2 59,500 0.28

3 79,900 0.45

4 59,200 0.79

5 65,600 1.15

b. If the risk-free rate is 5 percent, should this \)184,000 project be accepted? Compute the net present value of the adjusted inflows

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) The adjusted inflows table is completed in step 1

(b) The net present value is computed as -$9,966, so, the project should not be accepted

Step by step solution

01

(a) Completion of the table

Goodman Software Products

Adjusted Inflows

Year

Inflows ($)

Coefficient of variation

Adjustment factor

Adjusted Inflow ($)

1

32,200

0.12

0.90

28,980

2

59,500

0.28

0.80

47,600

3

79,900

0.45

0.70

55,930

4

59,200

0.79

0.60

35,520

5

65,600

1.15

0.50

32,800

02

Computation of net present value

Year

Adjusted Inflow ($)

PV at 5%

Present Value ($)

1

28,980

0.952

27,589

2

47,600

0.907

43,173

3

55,930

0.864

48,324

4

35,520

0.823

29,233

5

32,800

0.784

25,715

Present Value of adjusted inflows

174,034

Present value of outflows

184,000

Net Present Values

-$9,966

The net present value of the project is computed as -$9,966, which means the project has a negative present value. SO, this project should not be accepted.

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