Chapter 5: Problem 18
Consider the following discrete logistic model for the change in the size of a population over time: $$N_{t+1}=R_{0} N_{t}-\frac{1}{100} N_{t}^{2}$$ for \(t=0,1,2, \ldots\) (a) Find all equilibria when \(R_{0}=2.5\) and calculate which (if any) are stable. (b) Calculate the first ten terms of the sequence when \(N_{0}=10\) and describe what you see.
Short Answer
Step by step solution
Identify Equilibrium Points
Determine Stability of Equilibria
Calculate Sequence for Given Initial Condition
Analyze the Sequence Behavior
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Key Concepts
These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.
Equilibrium Points
- \( N = 0 \): This represents a situation where the population is extinct.
- \( N = 150 \): Here, the population stabilizes at this size.
Stability Analysis
- At \( N = 0 \), the derivative \( f'(0) = 2.5 \) is greater than 1, suggesting that even a small increase in population will grow, making this an unstable equilibrium.
- At \( N = 150 \), \( f'(150) = -0.5 \) has an absolute value less than 1, which indicates that any small disturbance will decay, confirming stability.
Population Dynamics
Understanding these dynamics helps in:
- Modeling realistic scenarios where population does not grow indefinitely but is regulated by carrying capacity.
- Predicting future population sizes and possible scenarios if environmental conditions change.
Sequence Calculation
- \( N_1 = 24 \)
- \( N_2 = 54.24 \)
- \( N_3 = 106.18 \)
- And so on, until \( N_{10} = 150 \)
As observed, the sequence initially increases, reflecting rapid population growth, but stabilizes as it approaches the stable equilibrium point of \( N = 150 \). Calculating sequences allows us to forecast and study how close initial values will align with equilibrium in real-world conditions.