/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 40 An urn contains four red, seven ... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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An urn contains four red, seven green, and two white balls. You draw a ball at random, note its color, and replace it. You repeat these steps four times. Let \(X\) denote the number of red balls and \(Y\) the number of green balls. Find \(P(X+Y=2)\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that \(X+Y=2\) is \(\frac{2904}{28561}\).

Step by step solution

01

Understand the problem

We need to find the probability that the combined number of red and green balls drawn equals 2, after drawing 4 balls with replacement. This is denoted as \(X+Y=2\).
02

Calculate individual probabilities

First, determine the probability of drawing a red ball: \( P(R) = \frac{4}{13} \), a green ball: \( P(G) = \frac{7}{13} \), and a white ball: \( P(W) = \frac{2}{13} \).
03

Express \(X+Y\) events

Since \(X+Y = 2\), consider events where two of the draws are either red or green, and the rest are white. Possible combinations are: 2 red and 0 green, 1 red and 1 green, 0 red and 2 green.
04

Calculate probabilities for specific scenarios

Calculate for each case: Case 1: 2 red and 0 green \((2W)\): \(P(X = 2, Y = 0) = \binom{4}{2} \left(\frac{4}{13}\right)^2 \left(\frac{2}{13}\right)^2 = 6 \times \frac{16}{169} \times \frac{4}{169} = \frac{384}{28561}\).Case 2: 1 red and 1 green \((2W)\): \(P(X = 1, Y = 1) = \binom{4}{1} \binom{3}{1} \left(\frac{4}{13}\right) \left(\frac{7}{13}\right) \left(\frac{2}{13}\right)^2 = 12 \times \frac{28}{169} \times \frac{4}{169} = \frac{1344}{28561}\).Case 3: 0 red and 2 green \((2W)\): \(P(X = 0, Y = 2) = \binom{4}{2} \left(\frac{7}{13}\right)^2 \left(\frac{2}{13}\right)^2 = 6 \times \frac{49}{169} \times \frac{4}{169} = \frac{1176}{28561}\).
05

Sum up probabilities

Add the probabilities of each case to get the total probability of \(X+Y=2\): \[P(X+Y=2) = \frac{384}{28561} + \frac{1344}{28561} + \frac{1176}{28561} = \frac{2904}{28561}\].

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Combinatorics
Combinatorics looks at different ways to count combinations and arrangements of items. This technique is useful when calculating probabilities in scenarios like drawing balls from an urn. In the exercise, combinatorics is used to determine how many ways certain events can happen.

You used binomial coefficients to figure out different ways you could draw 2 red balls, 1 red and 1 green ball, or 0 red and 2 green balls out of 4 total draws. The symbol \( \binom{n}{k} \) represents the number of combinations of choosing \(k\) items from \(n\) items without considering the order.

  • Case 1: \( \binom{4}{2} \) was used when choosing 2 red balls out of 4 draws.
  • Case 2: \( \binom{4}{1} \binom{3}{1} \) helped calculate choosing 1 red and 1 green ball from 4 draws.
  • Case 3: \( \binom{4}{2} \) was used for selecting 2 green balls.
These combinations were essential in determining the likelihood of different outcomes that satisfied the condition \(X+Y = 2\). By compiling all possibilities, you gain clarity on how various setups can yield the same result.
Random variables
Random variables simplify your understanding of probability problems by turning complex scenarios into manageable mathematical terms. This exercise uses two random variables: \(X\) and \(Y\).

Random variable \(X\) denotes the number of red balls drawn, while \(Y\) stands for the number of green balls. Rather than viewing each draw separately, random variables let you focus on specific outcomes, reducing complexity.

These variables help in quantifying uncertain outcomes, essential for working with probabilities. Here you focused on cases where the total number of red and green balls (\(X+Y\)) equals 2. Understanding that \(X\) and \(Y\) have discrete values—dependent on the actual draws—forms the core of the analysis. You use probabilities and randomness to anticipate different combinations and prepare for potential results.
Probability distribution
Probability distribution describes how probabilities are spread over possible outcomes. Understanding this can help you determine which scenarios are more likely. Here, you look for combinations of red and green balls drawn in terms of \(X+Y=2\).

Each specific event, such as drawing exactly two red balls or one red and one green ball, corresponds to a probability, forming a probability distribution across all desired possibilities.

  • Event 1: 2 red, 0 green gives a probability of \(\frac{384}{28561}\).
  • Event 2: 1 red, 1 green results in \(\frac{1344}{28561}\).
  • Event 3: 0 red, 2 green corresponds to \(\frac{1176}{28561}\).
The sum of these probabilities provides the total likelihood of \(X+Y\) equating to 2, creating a full picture of what outcomes are probable when random sampling occurs. Studying individual events gives insight into which mixtures of red and green support your condition best.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

\(S_{n}\) is binomially distributed with parameters \(n\) and \(p\). For \(n=100\) and \(p=0.01\), compute \(P\left(S_{n}=0\right)\) (a) exactly, (b) by using a Poisson approximation, and (c) by using a normal approximation.

The following data represent blood cholesterol levels, in \(\mathrm{mg} / \mathrm{dL}\), of patients in a clinical trial: $$ 174,138,212,203,194,245,146,149,164,209,158 $$ Find the median, the sample mean, and the sample variance.

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A number of traits are caused by recessive genes. The traits show up only in individuals who are homozygous (i.e., have two copies of the mutant gene). An individual with one normal and one mutant gene is a carrier, but does not exhibit the trait. Calculate each of the probabilites. The inability to roll one's tongue is caused by a single pair of recessive genes \((r r) .\) For a couple consisting of a heterozygote individual \((R r)\) and an affected person \((r r)\), what is the probability that, among their four children, at most one child is unable to roll his or her tongue?

Use the following facts: Cystic fibrosis is an inherited disorder that causes abnormally thick body secretions. About 1 in 2500 white babies in the United States has this disorder. About 3 in 100 children with cystic fibrosis develop diabetes mellitus, and about 1 in 5 females with cystic fibrosis is infertile. Find the probability that, in a group of 1000 children with cystic fibrosis, at least 25 will develop diabetes mellitus.

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