Chapter 12: Problem 35
Roll a fair die six times. Let \(X\) be the number of times you roll a 6 . Find the probability mass function.
Short Answer
Expert verified
The PMF for rolling a 6 up to 6 times is found using the binomial distribution formula, yielding probabilities for \( k = 0 \) to 6.
Step by step solution
01
Understand the Problem
We are rolling a fair die six times and need to find the probability mass function (PMF) for a discrete random variable \(X\) representing the number of times we roll a 6. Each roll is independent, and the probability of getting a 6 on one roll is \( \frac{1}{6} \).
02
Identify the PMF Formula
The probability mass function for a binomial distribution is given by the formula: \( P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \), where \( n \) is the number of trials (in this case, 6), \( k \) is the number of successes (rolling a 6), and \( p \) is the probability of success on a single trial (\( \frac{1}{6} \)).
03
Calculate the PMF for Each Possible Value of \( X \)
We calculate \( P(X = k) \) for each \( k \) from 0 to 6. This involves computing \( \binom{6}{k} \left( \frac{1}{6} \right)^k \left( \frac{5}{6} \right)^{6-k} \) for each \( k \):- \( P(X = 0) = \binom{6}{0} \left( \frac{1}{6} \right)^0 \left( \frac{5}{6} \right)^6 \)- \( P(X = 1) = \binom{6}{1} \left( \frac{1}{6} \right)^1 \left( \frac{5}{6} \right)^5 \)- \( P(X = 2) = \binom{6}{2} \left( \frac{1}{6} \right)^2 \left( \frac{5}{6} \right)^4 \)- \( P(X = 3) = \binom{6}{3} \left( \frac{1}{6} \right)^3 \left( \frac{5}{6} \right)^3 \)- \( P(X = 4) = \binom{6}{4} \left( \frac{1}{6} \right)^4 \left( \frac{5}{6} \right)^2 \)- \( P(X = 5) = \binom{6}{5} \left( \frac{1}{6} \right)^5 \left( \frac{5}{6} \right)^1 \)- \( P(X = 6) = \binom{6}{6} \left( \frac{1}{6} \right)^6 \left( \frac{5}{6} \right)^0 \).
04
Compute Values Using a Calculator
Use a calculator to compute the binomial coefficients and the probabilities for each \( k \):- \( P(X = 0) \approx 0.3349 \)- \( P(X = 1) \approx 0.4019 \)- \( P(X = 2) \approx 0.2009 \)- \( P(X = 3) \approx 0.0536 \)- \( P(X = 4) \approx 0.0080 \)- \( P(X = 5) \approx 0.0008 \)- \( P(X = 6) \approx 0.0001 \).
05
Summarize the PMF
The probability mass function is \( P(X = k) \) for \( k = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 \), with the values already computed in Step 4. Ensure all probabilities add up to 1, verifying the PMF calculation is correct.
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Key Concepts
These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.
Binomial Distribution
The binomial distribution is a fundamental concept when it comes to understanding processes where there are only two possible outcomes for each trial. Imagine scenarios like flipping a coin or, as in our exercise, rolling a die looking for a particular result, such as a 6. Each trial or event is independent, meaning the outcome of one doesn't affect another.
Key aspects of a binomial distribution include:
Key aspects of a binomial distribution include:
- There is a fixed number of trials, denoted by n. In our case, we roll the die six times.
- Each trial has two outcomes: a success or a failure. Here, rolling a 6 is a success, while rolling any other number is a failure.
- The probability of success, denoted by p, is constant across trials. For each roll of a fair die, the probability p of rolling a 6 is \( \frac{1}{6} \).
- The distribution provides the probability of achieving a certain number of successes in the given trials, ranging from 0 to n.
Random Variable
In probability and statistics, a random variable is a way to assign a numerical value to each outcome of a random event. Consider the case of rolling a die six times, with our interest focused on how many times a 6 appears. Here, the random variable, denoted by \( X \), specifically reflects how many 6s are rolled over those six attempts.
Random variables can be classified into two types:
Random variables can be classified into two types:
- Discrete random variables: These take on a finite or countably infinite number of values. In our exercise, \( X \) can be any whole number from 0 to 6.
- Continuous random variables: These can take an infinite number of values within a given range.
Binomial Coefficient
The binomial coefficient is an essential part of calculating probabilities in a binomial distribution. It represents the number of ways to choose \( k \) successes (like rolling a 6) out of \( n \) trials (the six rolls of the die), regardless of order.
Mathematically, the binomial coefficient is denoted by \( \binom{n}{k} \) and calculated using the formula:\[\binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!}\]where \( n! \) (read as "n factorial") is the product of all positive integers up to \( n \). Factorials are crucial for understanding combinations, as they tell us how many ways we can arrange or select elements.
In our scenario:
Mathematically, the binomial coefficient is denoted by \( \binom{n}{k} \) and calculated using the formula:\[\binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!}\]where \( n! \) (read as "n factorial") is the product of all positive integers up to \( n \). Factorials are crucial for understanding combinations, as they tell us how many ways we can arrange or select elements.
In our scenario:
- \( n = 6 \) because we roll the die six times.
- \( k \) varies from 0 to 6, representing the possible number of times we roll a 6.