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An urn contains five blue and three green balls. You remove three balls from the urn without replacement. What is the probability that at least two out of the three balls are green?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability is \( \frac{2}{7} \).

Step by step solution

01

Determine Total Outcomes

Calculate the total number of ways to choose 3 balls out of 8 (5 blue and 3 green). This is a combination problem and can be calculated using the formula \( \binom{n}{k} \) which gives the number of ways to choose \( k \) items from \( n \) items. Here, it is \( \binom{8}{3} = \frac{8 \times 7 \times 6}{3 \times 2 \times 1} = 56 \).
02

Calculate Probability of Exactly 2 Green Balls

Determine the number of ways to pick exactly 2 green balls. Choose 2 green balls out of 3 and 1 blue ball out of 5. This is \( \binom{3}{2} \times \binom{5}{1} = 3 \times 5 = 15 \).
03

Calculate Probability of Exactly 3 Green Balls

Determine the number of ways to pick exactly 3 green balls. Choose all green balls without picking any blue balls. This is \( \binom{3}{3} = 1 \).
04

Calculate Probability of At Least 2 Green Balls

Sum the favorable outcomes from Step 2 and Step 3, which is \( 15 + 1 = 16 \). Thus, the probability is the ratio of favorable outcomes to the total outcomes: \( \frac{16}{56} = \frac{2}{7} \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Combination Formula
The Combination Formula is a crucial part of Probability Theory, especially in problems involving selection of items where order does not matter. When you see problems about choosing subsets, such as selecting balls from an urn, combinations come into play. The formula for combinations is expressed as \( \binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \), where \( n \) is the total number of items to choose from, \( k \) is the number of items to choose, and \( ! \) denotes factorial, which is the product of all positive integers up to that number. To apply this in our urn problem:
  • We needed to choose 3 balls from 8, calculated using \( \binom{8}{3} = 56 \).
  • Similarly, when choosing 2 green balls from 3, it is \( \binom{3}{2} = 3 \).
  • Choosing 1 blue ball from 5 gives \( \binom{5}{1} = 5 \).
These calculations are fundamental to determining different groupings without considering the order, which is essential in finding probabilities.
Probability Calculation
Once we know the possible combinations, the next step is to determine the probability of an event, in this case, picking at least two green balls. Probability is the ratio of the number of successful outcomes to the total number of outcomes. We calculate probabilities using:
  • The total number of ways to take 3 balls from 8 is \( 56 \).
  • The number of ways to get exactly 2 green balls is the combination of choosing 2 green and 1 blue, which equals \( 15 \).
  • The number of ways to get exactly 3 green balls is \( 1 \).
Adding these gives us 16 favorable outcomes. Thus, the probability of drawing at least two green balls is calculated by dividing the favorable outcomes by the total outcomes, \( \frac{16}{56} = \frac{2}{7} \). This step shows how combination calculations directly impact finding probability, translating outcomes into meaningful understanding.
Discrete Mathematics
Discrete Mathematics involves study areas like probability, which deals with distinct and separable values. In probability, discrete scenarios involve fixed and countable numbers as opposed to continuous probability, which deals with probabilities across a range of values. In our case, the problem is discrete because it involves a fixed number of outcomes. Each ball drawn is a distinct, separate possibility, and every event's result does not overlap another. This discrete nature simplifies the analysis and allows use of formulas, such as combinations, to explore probability scenarios. In essence, Discrete Mathematics provides powerful tools for solving real-world problems, allowing us to organize and evaluate scenarios where every element is countable, such as ensuring we adequately count potential outcomes across fixed categories like colors in the urn example. This understanding is key to mastering real-life applications of mathematics.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The following table contains the number of aphids per plant in a sample of size 30 : $$\begin{array}{rrrrrr}15 & 27 & 13 & 2 & 0 & 16 \\ 26 & 0 & 2 & 1 & 17 & 15 \\\ 21 & 13 & 5 & 0 & 19 & 25 \\ 12 & 11 & 0 & 16 & 22 & 1 \\ 28 & 9 & 0 & 0 & 1 & 17\end{array}$$ (a) Find the relative frequency distribution. (b) Compute the average value by (i) averaging the values in the table directly and (ii) using the relative frequency distribution obtained in (a).

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